Key highlights of today's news flow are: BAWAG strong Q1 meeting expectations, guidance confirmed Mayr-Melnhof Q1 23 earnings below expectations, cautious outlook Encavis acquired two ready-to-build solar parks in Italy Santander Bank PL Q1 23 net profit in line with consensus mBank will book PLN 173 mn resolution fund fee in Q1 Polish retail sales accelerate fall in March to -7.3% yoy Hungary changes windfall tax on bank profits |
The surprise announcement by OPEC + to cut oil production by more than 1 mn bbl/d should accelerate the transition of the global oil market from oversupply in Q1 23 to deficit in Q2-Q4 23. Given the tighter supply-demand balance, we have revised upwards our oil price forecast for 2023-25e. We expect Brent to average USD 90/bbl in 2023e, up from USD 85/bbl previously. We have also raised our 2024-25e Brent price forecast as we expect the oil cartel to increase its influence on the oil market as the US shale oil industry is unable to reduce the supply-demand deficit by more aggressively increasing its oil production due to a combination of budget discipline, labour shortages and high cost inflation. |
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Key highlights of today's news flow are:
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PKN's updated its 2030 strategic targets show that the management is strengthening its focus on future business transformation by allocating one-third of its 2023-30 total capex of PLN 320 bn for green and low-carbon projects. Moreover, PKN has updated its dividend policy, by setting clear payout targets and a new base (i.e. guaranteed) dividend for the next eight years. We welcome the new dividend policy and the strong focus on business transformation. The lack of intermediary mid-term targets will keep the market focused on the medium-term developments in the conventional segments, which are the foundation for PKN’s progressive dividend policy and its future growth ambitions in the low-carbon space. |